Climate change risks

Climate change is a driver and factor in many of the environmental issues we face. It exacerbates hazards, such as extreme weather events, and puts stress on communities and ecosystems. The risks posed by climate change affect the way we manage resources.

Canterbury/Waitaha climate change risk assessment

The impacts of climate change are already being felt, and urgent action is needed to adapt to these impacts and minimise further risks. The Canterbury Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCCRA) highlights the risks associated with climate change, and climate-exacerbated hazards both now and in the future.

Climate change presents different risks across our region

The highly diverse geography and large land area of Waitaha means that climate risks and impacts vary across the region. A regional summary of climate risks is provided below.

Urban centres

Christchurch aerial

For all communities, risks from climate change hazards generally include damage to infrastructure from flooding and disruption to transport routes and supply chains.

Changing climate conditions also pose a risk to supporting utilities like landfills and power supplies. Many of our smaller urban areas are fed by water sources that are vulnerable to climate impacts. Water use restrictions may become more commonplace in some areas.

Christchurch/Ōtautahi is our biggest city. It is a major social and economic hub for the Waitaha region.

The low-lying coastal position of much of the city makes it very exposed to flooding and sea level rise. This poses a widespread risk to Christchurch/Ōtautahi communities and infrastructure.

There is a risk that community cohesion will reduce as a result of climate-related damage. People's physical and mental health may also be impacted by climate-related stressors, including changing markets and job availability.

Coastal

Kaikōura coast line

As a result of sea level rise, ports, transport connections, coastal ecosystems, wetlands, and communities at the coastal fringe will be exposed to an increased risk of flooding, salinity stress and erosion.

Changes in temperatures and ocean chemistry will impact fisheries and marine ecosystems.

This can affect the abundance and distribution of marine plants and animals, including pests, and can influence behaviour patterns such as migration routes.

 

Montane/High country

Montane landscape

Increased temperatures, drought, and fire will impact forestry, agriculture, tourism, and ecosystems.

Remote communities may face increased disruption to transport routes, making them more isolated at times.

 

 

 

 

 

Alpine

Mt Hutt Skifield

Higher temperatures, a decrease in snow and ice (including the retreat of glaciers) and changing rainfall patterns will create risks that may impact alpine biodiversity.

These changes are also likely to impact skiing and other alpine tourism activities.

 

 

 

 

Freshwater

Woman drinking water out of stream

The unique rivers, lakes, and streams, and the extensive groundwater aquifers of Waitaha are significant for mahinga kai (resource gathering) for Māori.

Increased temperatures, drought potential, and changing rain and snowfall patterns pose risks to biodiversity. 

They also pose a risk to the reliability of water supplies, which can impact the way we use water.

Increased flooding, sediment transport, water temperatures, and demand for water poses a risk to aquatic ecosystems, irrigation supplies, and hydropower systems.

Canterbury plains

Flight over the Canterbury plains

The fertile lowlands of Waitaha are highly important for agriculture.

Increased temperatures pose risks of heat stress on stock, as well as an increase in the occurrence of pests and invasive species.

Increased drought potential may introduce a range of stresses, and could impact water availability. 

Increases in the frequency and severity of storms, wind, and flooding may increase erosion, and cause damage to crops, pasture, stock, houses and infrastructure.

 

Climate change opportunities

Climate change may also provide new opportunities across the region. However, it is important to note that opportunities cannot be considered in isolation as the risks may outweigh the potential benefits. Nonetheless, projected opportunities could include:

  • warmer living conditions in winter that reduce energy use
  • a longer growing season and new viable crops
  • increased water storage from winter rainfall
  • less disruption to travel due to snow and ice.

For more information on climate change risk view the Climate Change Risk Assessment Summary Report, and the It's time, Canterbury website.